Microsoft Launches Windows 95 with 2.6 million Units Sold
to Consumers in the First 30 Days ...
Initial sales patterns suggest challenges in maintaining this
torrid pace. Total may reach 5.0 million by the end of this year.
For Immediate Release
Friday, September 29, 1995
New York, NY Alexander & Associates announced today that an
estimated 2.6 million units of Windows '95 have been acquired
by consumers -- either in the form of a direct purchase, a free
upgrade to a prior Windows 3.1 purchase, or installed in a recently
bought machine -- in the first 30 days of this product's availability.
Robert Alexander, President of Alexander & Associates, said:
"these numbers are a tremendous achievement for Microsoft
and attest to the effectiveness of the pre-launch and launch promotional
effort. This clearly has to be considered one of the great consumer
product launch success stories."
Alexander's estimates are based on a nationally representative
survey of 1008 U.S. households conducted between September 22
and September 26. The analysis of purchases of Windows 95 was
part of the firm's on-going tracking and analysis of the consumer,
in-home based personal computer market.
According to Alexander, the data shows that about half of the
total initial purchasers were acquired by young (18 to 34 year
old), relatively well off men with average household incomes over
$85 thousand per year. About 85 percent of the initial purchasers
were white. "To some extent," he said, "this is
the kind of audience that would respond to a trendy, must-have,
new product pitch. While this is a great market with tremendous
buying power, it isn't really a mass market."
Overall awareness of Windows 95 is very high, with 66 percent
of PC households aware of the product on an unaided basis and
another 30 percent aware of the product when the product name
is used. These levels of aided awarenss in the target buying audience
are outstanding. Product awareness was consistent across age,
income and geography, the only important exceptions being households
with incomes in the $15 to $25 thousand range and the South geographically.
The very high and consistent levels of awareness across a broad
range of consumer groups underscores the effectiveness of the
pre-launch and launch campaigns.
The initial surge of purchases came from that group that could
be expected to be first in this product's adoption, given the
way it was launched, namely younger, affluent buyers. Purchase
intent information from the survey suggests that the next round
of sales will be made to different groups of buyers, some of them
farther down the income ladder and to other race and ethnic groups
in the population. This pool of prospective buyers, who describe
themselves as "very likely" to purchase the product
before the end of the year, numbers in total about 1.4 million
households.
A larger pool of prospective purchasers totalling about 4.4 million
households describes themselves as "somewhat likely"
to buy Windows 95 before the end of '95. This group clearly has
the financial resources, with overall average household incomes
higher even than that of the initial buyers, but they are distinctly
older, a broader cross section of the population, and evidently
more cautious in making the purchase decision. There is a slight
bias in the "intent to buy" group toward households
in the northeast and toward families with children.
"We believe that the initial excitement of product release
has run its course," Alexander said, "and based on our
analysis of the data, we would expect sales to consumers over
the next three months to about equal the first month's sales."
Units installed in consumer homes might reach a total of 5 million
by the end of 1995, or about 20 percent of DOS platform personal
computers.
Alexander & Associates, Inc. is a business consulting firm
based in New York City that concentrates on the new consumer media
ranging from home video to interactive television. The firm's
practice focuses on the impact of new technologies on the development
and exploitation of new media. Its clients include major entertainment
studios, computer and videogame companies, and telecommunications
firms.
This study is part of a weekly tracking program launched by the
firm in April of this year to measure the increasing incidence
of personal computers in consumers' homes. The results of over
1,000 completed interviews with a stratified random sample of
U.S. households have been weighted to reflect the U.S. population
generally. Sampling error associated with these results implies
a range of plus or minus 800 thousand units around the estimate.
Consideration of other data related to this estimate, including
non-survey information, suggests that the most likely range for
unit purchases is in the 2.2 to 2.6 million unit range.
Additional information can be obtained by contacting the company
directly or in the "White Papers" section of the website
maintained by the company at www.alexassoc.com.
attachment: Summary research results exhibit and table
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